Q. Box $A$ contains 2 black and 3 red balls. While box $B$ contains 3 black and 4 red balls. Out of these two boxes one is selected at random; and the probability of choosing box $A$ is double that of box $B$. If a red ball is drawn from the selected box, then the probability that it has come from box$B$. is

A) $\frac{21}{41}$
B) $\frac{10}{31}$
C) $\frac{12}{31}$
D) $\frac{13}{41}$
Explanation

(b)
Let probability of box $B,\ P(B) = P$
According to given condition
$P(A) = 2P(B) = 2P$
Now, $P\left( \frac{R}{A} \right) = \frac{\ ^{3}C_{1}}{\ ^{5}C_{1}} = \frac{3}{5}$
and $P\left( \frac{R}{B} \right) = \frac{\ ^{4}C_{1}}{\ ^{7}C_{1}} = \frac{4}{7}$
$\therefore\ P\left( \frac{B}{R} \right) = \frac{P(B).P\left( \frac{R}{B} \right)}{P(A).P\left( \frac{R}{A} \right) + P(B).P\left( \frac{R}{B} \right)}$
$= \frac{p.\frac{4}{7}}{2p.\frac{3}{5} + p.\frac{4}{7}} = \frac{10}{31}$

Dr. Abubacker
Reviewed by Dr. Abubacker

Physics Educator & NEET/JEE Specialist

Ph.D. in Physics with 19+ years of teaching experience.